Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.177926 0.200478 0.224212 0.250998 0.280329 0.311416 0.346796
2025-04-27 0.152123 0.183279 0.217812 0.258734 0.305699 0.357710 0.419452
2025-05-04 0.130370 0.166640 0.208698 0.260659 0.322682 0.393891 0.481343
2025-05-11 0.115453 0.155597 0.204049 0.266117 0.342735 0.433408 0.547943
2025-05-18 0.104482 0.147753 0.201894 0.273509 0.364539 0.475114 0.618173
2025-05-25 0.091780 0.136092 0.193517 0.271856 0.374235 0.501670 0.670236
2025-06-01 0.081658 0.126627 0.186852 0.271380 0.384676 0.528834 0.723326
2025-06-08 0.072942 0.118094 0.180490 0.270445 0.393883 0.554158 0.774329
2025-06-15 0.067591 0.113749 0.179341 0.276159 0.411758 0.590925 0.840872
2025-06-22 0.061269 0.107286 0.174562 0.276249 0.421601 0.616991 0.893722
2025-06-29 0.055633 0.101279 0.169883 0.275962 0.430560 0.641784 0.945203
2025-07-06 0.050639 0.095770 0.165446 0.275569 0.439053 0.665877 0.996067
2025-07-13 0.046791 0.091898 0.163396 0.278832 0.453278 0.698892 1.060978
2025-07-20 0.044255 0.089974 0.164201 0.286363 0.473927 0.741470 1.140297
2025-07-27 0.040723 0.085964 0.161341 0.287959 0.485662 0.771557 1.202734
2025-08-03 0.038314 0.083706 0.161130 0.293600 0.503567 0.810899 1.279186
2025-08-10 0.036512 0.082374 0.162323 0.301451 0.525010 0.855866 1.364694
2025-08-17 0.033212 0.077867 0.157755 0.299576 0.531140 0.878255 1.417843
2025-08-24 0.030442 0.074091 0.154154 0.299015 0.539155 0.903486 1.475549
2025-08-31 0.027863 0.070416 0.150438 0.297977 0.546225 0.927308 1.531537
2025-09-07 0.026511 0.069131 0.150950 0.304144 0.565047 0.969385 1.615538
2025-09-14 0.024467 0.066154 0.148095 0.304233 0.573816 0.996093 1.676875
2025-09-21 0.022550 0.063239 0.145132 0.303918 0.581792 1.021639 1.736852